FPL Fixture Difficulty: Teams With the Easiest Early Run for 2025/26 Fantasy Managers

FPL Fixture Difficulty: Teams With the Easiest Early Run for 2025/26 Fantasy Managers
by Jason Darries, 15 Aug 2025, Sports
7 Comments

Spotlight on Favorable FPL Fixtures: Who Has the Best Start?

When Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers look at the 2025/26 calendar, one thing jumps off the page: Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Hotspur are the clear go-to choices for early squad planning. The Fixture Difficulty system places both teams right at the top, chalking up an average difficulty score of just 2.67 for the first six gameweeks. That number is no small detail—it means three of their five opening games sit at the 'easy' level on the FPL scale.

The FDR system, trusted by hardcore FPL fans, runs from 1 (a walk in the park) to 5 (nightmare territory). It pulls in stats like team performance, home advantage, and even recent hot streaks to give a picture of what lies ahead. For the 2025/26 kickoff, the lucky runs highlighted by this algorithm are catching everyone’s attention. Sunderland, a fresh face after last season’s promotion, shares the same average but with fewer fixtures at the absolute easiest tier—a quirk but still enough to put their players on the shopping list for brave managers looking for bargains.

Not far behind in the early-season ease stakes are Aston Villa, Brentford, Chelsea, and West Ham United. With each sporting an average FDR of 2.83, they might not have quite as many walkovers, but they’re still sitting pretty compared to teams with tougher starts. All four clubs get at least one matchup near the bottom of the difficulty scale in those critical first six weeks. That’s gold for anyone planning transfers or hunting for differential picks that can get ahead before the season gets bogged down with fixture congestion.

Breaking Down the Schedule and What’s at Stake

Knowing the fixture run is just half the battle. The FPL opening chunk follows a tight pattern: three gameweeks squeezed between August 16 and 30, then a two-week international break interrupts. When players come back, it’s four more weekends and then—guess what—another pause for internationals in early October. These breaks can upend plans. You might get lucky with your team rolling in points, only for a two-week pause to bring injuries, returns, and reset the playing field.

Things get stickier for clubs with European ambitions. Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League games are slotted during the same period as Premier League gameweeks 4 through 9. For managers, that means checking starting lineups gets more unpredictable—the dreaded 'rotation risk' is real for top teams, especially right after those midweek fixtures.

Domestic cups add more spice. The EFL Cup starts between gameweeks 2 and 3, with later rounds making a mess of schedules for teams that go deep. Players could get benched to keep them fresh, dropping their FPL appeal just when you need points.

Modern fixture tools aren’t just about numbers—they use easy color codes. Green is the all-clear, yellow means proceed with caution, and red? Brace yourself, it’s going to be a slog. These visuals make it easier to map out transfer plans weeks in advance, especially for those managers who love to play the long game.

So, if you’re setting your squad for the new season? Think about leaning heavy on Forest and Spurs assets right out of the gate. Sunderland offers sneaky value, while Villa, Brentford, Chelsea, and West Ham could be worth a punt depending on your risk level. Keep an eye on fixture congestion and international breaks—they’ll shape who plays and who sits for every key FPL gameweek early in the season.

Chris Snyder
Chris Snyder 15 Aug

Looks like Forest and Spurs are the cheap gold mines for the first six weeks :) The FDR scores give them a clear edge, especially when you consider the international break will shuffle line‑ups later. If you grab a couple of budget‑friendly starters now, you’ll have flexibility for those mid‑season rotations. Also keep an eye on Sunderland; their promotion bounce could translate into points against weaker sides. Overall, loading up on easy‑fixture assets early is a solid strategy.

Hugh Fitzpatrick
Hugh Fitzpatrick 15 Aug

Oh wow, because picking the “obvious” easy teams is such a groundbreaking insight 🙄. I mean, who would’ve thought that a low difficulty rating equals potential points? Good thing you’ve saved us from the horror of using any brain at all.

george hernandez
george hernandez 15 Aug

When you examine the opening fixture matrix you begin to appreciate the tapestry of opportunity that lies across the Premier League landscape. The early runs for Forest and Spurs are not merely favorable they are practically a playground for the astute manager. Each week presents a new canvas upon which you can paint your strategic selections with dazzling precision. The low difficulty scores translate into a statistical probability of accruing points that cannot be ignored. Moreover the promotion of Sunderland adds a wild card element that seasoned analysts love to dissect. Their inaugural matches often carry an element of unpredictability that can be exploited by savvy owners. Villa’s schedule, while slightly more demanding, still offers a smorgasbord of matches against lower‑table opponents. Brentford’s fixtures echo a rhythm that syncs well with a balanced squad composition. Chelsea’s early slate, despite the looming European commitments, still harbors enough green fixtures to justify a cautious investment. West Ham’s opening encounters promise a mixture of home advantage and opponent fatigue that can be leveraged. The international break, positioned after the third gameweek, serves as a natural pause to reassess and recalibrate your roster. Injuries and squad rotations will inevitably shift the calculus, making early depth a valuable asset. By securing budget players from the easy teams you preserve transfer budget for the later congested periods. The color‑coded tools provided by modern fantasy platforms simplify this visual analysis, turning abstract numbers into intuitive guidance. In sum the early fixture landscape is a fertile ground for strategic accumulation of points and should be approached with both enthusiasm and analytical rigor.

bob wang
bob wang 15 Aug

Indeed, the data presented above warrants a meticulous examination; however, one must also consider the stochastic nature of early‑season performances, which occasionally defy deterministic models. Moreover, the integration of rotation risk, especially for clubs engaged in continental competitions, introduces an additional variable that cannot be overlooked; consequently, a diversified portfolio of players may prove advantageous. 📊📈

Seyi Aina
Seyi Aina 15 Aug

Yo, those easy games are just a cheat code for the rest of us.

Alyson Gray
Alyson Gray 15 Aug

OMG, I totally feel you!! I was like “definately gonna ride that wave” but then I realized my bench was full of dudz and now I’m stuck 😭. It’s crazy how a single easy fixture can turn your whole season into a rollercoaster of hope and despair, am I right?

Shaun Collins
Shaun Collins 15 Aug

Honestly the whole thing feels like a hype train that’s already left the station.

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